“If the U.S. economy grew @ 4%, this will make a big headline not only in the USA but the entire world.  U.S. economy is the engine that drives the global economy. President Trump, of course, will take full credit.  He would argue that his economic policies have started finally working for the benefit of America and the world.  Trump’s massive historic tax cuts, deregulations, America first and better terms of trade, and running a lean government are having the positive impact on the economy.”

The government will release the 2nd quarter GDP on Friday, July 27th.  According to the Conference Board, Federal Reserve and the IMF, the GDP growth for the second quarter will be between 4 and 5 per cent. For my analysis, let me take the lowest and the most conservative figure of 4%.  If the U.S. economy grew @ 4%, this will make a big headline not only in the USA but the entire world.  U.S. economy is the engine that drives the global economy.

President Trump, of course, will take full credit for the robust economy.  He would argue that his economic policies have started finally working for the benefit of America and the world.  Trump’s massive historic tax cuts, deregulations, America first and better terms of trade, and running a lean government are having the positive impact on the economy.

It is true that the unemployment hit 3.8% in June.  Unemployment amongst the Blacks, Latinos and Women is also the lowest recorded.  Wages have been rising.  The frustrated unemployed who stopped looking for jobs are back now, and the unemployment went up to 4% in July.  Corporate earnings are going up substantially, thanks to the tax cut. Profits accumulated abroad have started coming back because of the tax incentives.  The DOW Jone’s average is up 38% since Trump’s election.

TRUMP’S NEW WORLD ORDER

Trump has challenged foreign countries without discrimination.  He has been tough on our closest allies – Canada, U.K., France, South Korea, and Germany.  He has questioned the effectiveness of NATO without strong defense.  He has admonished our allies and members of the NATO for not paying their share of 2% of their GDP.  He was even critical of Germany depending on Russia for importing $600 billion of gas yearly.  He said that Germany as our ally should be buying gas from us.   I must point out that ever since NATO was created in 1949, it has not been able to defend one inch of European territory encroached by the Soviet Union or Russia.  If the Europe had invested in strong defense, the NATO could have been a real tiger, not a paper tiger as now.

SYRIA:  Trump used the military force twice to punish Syria, whereas Obama failed.   Trump can take credit for defeating the ISIS.  We do not see any more horrible pictures of Americans being killed and hung publicly.

ISRAEL: Israel was created in 1948.  Trump is the first President to make Jerusalem its capital.  The majority of the UN General Assembly voted against and the fake media warned of crisis.  Trump’s courageous action stands, and Israel is more secure.

NORTH KOREA:  Trump is the first President to have a summit meeting with the North Korean leader in Singapore.  Trump claims that the denuclearization process has started and could end within a year.  What a change?

RUSSIA: Trump claims that his summit with Putin has contributed to better relations.  The relationship was almost frozen during Obama’s time.

PAKISTAN: Trump is the first President to punish Pakistan for encouraging terrorism in Afghanistan.  Pakistan has behaved and for the first time, there is relative peace in Afghanistan.  Trump has also demanded that Pakistan to rid of all terrorists from Pakistan.  Trump is the first President to withdraw military aid to Pakistan.

INTERNATIONAL TRADE:  Trump has started a revolution in international trade.  He campaigned against all trade pacts including NAFTA, LAFTA, and others.  He believes in America First.  He has been a tough negotiator and if the economy is the mirror, once could say his policy is working.  Today, the visiting Head of the European Union and Trump agreed to the goal of zero tariff.

MIDTERM ELECTIONS: WHO WILL WIN?

Trump is the most unpredictable in the world.  All the so-called pundits, mass media, pollsters, politicians all have failed so far. I hate to predict.  But, I can predict they will continue to predict and they will be again proven wrong.  This, however, does not disallow me from making some calculated speculations.  The elites and the coastal States are not going to decide the elections.  Once again, the Middle America and the South will decide.

Senator Sanders of Vermont, who was stopped by Hillary Clinton, is now emerging as the leader of the Democrats and also attracting Independents.  The party has been going from the left to the left.  The defeat of the old horse, Congressman Crowley in NY, who was in line to become the Speaker, by a newcomer, a Socialist has given a wakeup call to the establishment.  This means, Nancy Pelosi and her old leadership, aging over 70 are dead horses.  Senators Elizabeth Warren, Kamala Harris, and Corker of NJ cannot compete with Sanders and Socialism.  The transformation in the Democratic party has weakened the establishment and it has no place.   We saw the Democrats got elected in Pennsylvania supporting Trump policies. The Independents are looking for the best choice.  THERE IS AN OLD SAYING, THE POCKET BOOK WILL DECIDE THE ELECTION.  If so, the pocket book is the common denominator of winning ticket.  Trump wins.

Targeting Trump for 24/7 by the mass media and the anti Trumpsters will not help them.  Everybody knew Trump was a playboy and it is not news. Hillary Clinton tried the dirty politics, but Trump blasted her in the debates.  Therefore, no tapes or videos are going to kill the ROBUST ECONOMY. Trump’s popularity, even before the release of 2nd quarter GDP is 48%, higher than that of Obama’s or Bush’s at the same period.  When Trump was elected it was 37%.    But for the fake media, his popularity could have been 65%.  In addition to the Robust Economy and the New World Order, Trump will be credited for nominating two judges to the Supreme Court.  I am confident that Trump’s second nominee for the Court will be approved before the midterm election.  90% of the Republicans approve Trump as of now.  The GOP is most likely to add a couple of more senators and the House will be 50:50, meaning the GOP could end with a narrow lead of one!

Mueller investigation is a hoax as there is absolutely no evidence of Russian collusion with the Trump campaign.  Professor Allan Dershowitz reputed legal scholar and attorney has written a book on AGAINST IMPEACHING TRUMP and has concluded that Mueller may have no choice but to write a narrative report.

QUESTIONS DIFFICULT TO ANSWER:

1. How did Trump give leadership to the U.S. economy?
2. How Trump, despite challenging all leaders of the world, came out victorious in creating a NEW WORLD ORDER.
3. What is Trump’s mantra or magic?

 

(The author, Chairman, Asian American Republican Committee founded in 1988 came to the USA 64 years ago and lives in Scarsdale, New York. He can be reached at vpwaren@gmail.com)